KARDVANE TR

Wormhole (W) futures data

Latest scan: October 13 at 08:08 AM UTC · updated every 4 hours

0.01928USDT−34.95% 24h

CROWD · FUNDING

CROWDED SHORT · p0
everyone shorteveryone long

Extreme short crowding: most futures traders on W are betting on a fall. The funding rate is at p0, in the lowest 5% of the last 6 months. If price turns up, short covering can speed up the move (short squeeze).

72-hour average funding: -13.83 bp

AVERAGE DAILY MOVE (ATR)

15.2%

W moves about this much per day. A stop much tighter than this is risky.

SQUEEZE

No

Band width is at the 100th percentile of its history.

OPEN INTEREST · 24H

−55.8%

Leveraged longs are being liquidated (price −36.1%).

MARKET (BTC)

Bull · calm · trend up

SETUP

Crowded short in a calm bull market

Most futures traders are betting on a fall, but BTC is in a bull regime and the market is calm; crowded shorts can get squeezed.

W price chart 4h · Binance futures

Chart by TradingView Lightweight Charts™

Key levels

LEVELPRICEDISTANCE
20-day high0.03188+65.4%
20-day low0.01103−74.8%
55-day high0.03188+65.4%
55-day low0.0079800−141.5%

Active signals

CrowdW · everyone is betting on a fallp0
LiquidationW · leveraged longs are being liquidatedOI -56%

What happened after signals on W in the past?

Crowded short (everyone betting on a fall): 35 times since April 2024; price moved in the upward direction 7 days later 31% of the time (normal: 39%). Crowded long (everyone betting on a rise): 27 times since April 2024; price moved in the downward direction 7 days later 54% of the time (normal: 61%). 20-day high breakout: 27 times since April 2024; price moved in the upward direction 7 days later 44% of the time (normal: 39%). 20-day low breakout: 49 times since April 2024; price moved in the downward direction 7 days later 63% of the time (normal: 61%).

SIGNALNEXPECTED DIRECTION AFTER 7DNORMAL TIMESAVG. 7D
Crowded short (everyone betting on a fall)3531%39%−0.9%
Crowded long (everyone betting on a rise)2754%61%+4.1%
20-day high breakout2744%39%−4.1%
20-day low breakout4963%61%−2.7%

Historical statistics; they don't show the future. If the difference from normal times is small, the signal carries little directional information on this coin.

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FAQ

What does the W funding rate show right now?

Extreme short crowding: most futures traders on W are betting on a fall. The funding rate is at p0, in the lowest 5% of the last 6 months. If price turns up, short covering can speed up the move (short squeeze).

Are longs or shorts crowded on W?

As of the latest scan the crowd on W is: crowded short (funding percentile p0). p0 is the most short and p100 the most long moment of the last 6 months.

How much does W move per day on average?

W's average true range (ATR) is about 15.2% per day. A stop much tighter than this is more likely to be hit by an ordinary swing.

Are there liquidations on W?

Yes. Open interest changed −55.8% and price −36.1% in the last 24 hours: leveraged longs are being force-closed.

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