KARDLumia (LUMIA) futures data
Latest scan: October 13 at 08:08 AM UTC · updated every 4 hours
CROWD · FUNDING
CROWDED SHORT · p3Extreme short crowding: most futures traders on LUMIA are betting on a fall. The funding rate is at p3, in the lowest 5% of the last 6 months. If price turns up, short covering can speed up the move (short squeeze).
72-hour average funding: +2.57 bp
AVERAGE DAILY MOVE (ATR)
LUMIA moves about this much per day. A stop much tighter than this is risky.
SQUEEZE
NoBand width is at the 82th percentile of its history.
OPEN INTEREST · 24H
Positions are closing.
MARKET (BTC)
Bull · calm · trend upSETUP
Crowded short in a calm bull marketMost futures traders are betting on a fall, but BTC is in a bull regime and the market is calm; crowded shorts can get squeezed.
LUMIA price chart 4h · Binance futures
Chart by TradingView Lightweight Charts™
Key levels
| LEVEL | PRICE | DISTANCE |
|---|---|---|
| 20-day high | 0.18400 | +64.9% |
| 20-day low | 0.07552 | −47.8% |
| 55-day high | 0.18400 | +64.9% |
| 55-day low | 0.06742 | −65.5% |
Active signals
| Crowd | LUMIA · everyone is betting on a fall | p3 |
What happened after signals on LUMIA in the past?
Crowded short (everyone betting on a fall): 23 times since December 2024; price moved in the upward direction 7 days later 46% of the time (normal: 44%). Crowded long (everyone betting on a rise): 43 times since December 2024; price moved in the downward direction 7 days later 74% of the time (normal: 56%). 20-day low breakout: 28 times since December 2024; price moved in the downward direction 7 days later 71% of the time (normal: 56%).
| SIGNAL | N | EXPECTED DIRECTION AFTER 7D | NORMAL TIMES | AVG. 7D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crowded short (everyone betting on a fall) | 23 | 46% | 44% | +2.7% |
| Crowded long (everyone betting on a rise) | 43 | 74% | 56% | −5.7% |
| 20-day high breakout | 17 | 38% | 44% | −2.8% |
| 20-day low breakout | 28 | 71% | 56% | −4.3% |
Historical statistics; they don't show the future. If the difference from normal times is small, the signal carries little directional information on this coin.
FAQ
What does the LUMIA funding rate show right now?
Extreme short crowding: most futures traders on LUMIA are betting on a fall. The funding rate is at p3, in the lowest 5% of the last 6 months. If price turns up, short covering can speed up the move (short squeeze).
Are longs or shorts crowded on LUMIA?
As of the latest scan the crowd on LUMIA is: crowded short (funding percentile p3). p0 is the most short and p100 the most long moment of the last 6 months.
How much does LUMIA move per day on average?
LUMIA's average true range (ATR) is about 15.2% per day. A stop much tighter than this is more likely to be hit by an ordinary swing.
Are there liquidations on LUMIA?
No notable liquidation wave in the latest scan. Open interest changed −10.3% and price −2.6% in 24 hours.