KARDVANE TR

BNB futures data

Latest scan: October 13 at 08:08 AM UTC · updated every 4 hours

745.78USDT−0.95% 24h

CROWD · FUNDING

CROWDED SHORT · p0
everyone shorteveryone long

Extreme short crowding: most futures traders on BNB are betting on a fall. The funding rate is at p0, in the lowest 5% of the last 6 months. If price turns up, short covering can speed up the move (short squeeze).

72-hour average funding: +0.00 bp

AVERAGE DAILY MOVE (ATR)

2.9%

BNB moves about this much per day. A stop much tighter than this is risky.

SQUEEZE

Yes

The price band is in its narrowest 10% (for 1 candle). The move may accelerate when it breaks.

OPEN INTEREST · 24H

−3.0%

No notable change.

MARKET (BTC)

Bull · calm · trend up

SETUP

Crowded short in a calm bull market

Most futures traders are betting on a fall, but BTC is in a bull regime and the market is calm; crowded shorts can get squeezed.

BNB price chart 4h · Binance futures

Chart by TradingView Lightweight Charts™

Key levels

LEVELPRICEDISTANCE
20-day high811.18+8.8%
20-day low716.85−4.0%
55-day high811.18+8.8%
55-day low601.63−24.0%

Active signals

CrowdBNB · everyone is betting on a fallp0
SqueezeBNB · stuck in a narrow range for a while1 candles

What happened after signals on BNB in the past?

Crowded short (everyone betting on a fall): 63 times since February 2020; price moved in the upward direction 7 days later 50% of the time (normal: 53%). Crowded long (everyone betting on a rise): 73 times since February 2020; price moved in the downward direction 7 days later 51% of the time (normal: 47%). 20-day high breakout: 108 times since February 2020; price moved in the upward direction 7 days later 53% of the time (normal: 53%). 20-day low breakout: 59 times since February 2020; price moved in the downward direction 7 days later 41% of the time (normal: 47%).

SIGNALNEXPECTED DIRECTION AFTER 7DNORMAL TIMESAVG. 7D
Crowded short (everyone betting on a fall)6350%53%+2.3%
Crowded long (everyone betting on a rise)7351%47%+0.8%
20-day high breakout10853%53%+5.2%
20-day low breakout5941%47%+0.2%

Historical statistics; they don't show the future. If the difference from normal times is small, the signal carries little directional information on this coin.

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FAQ

What does the BNB funding rate show right now?

Extreme short crowding: most futures traders on BNB are betting on a fall. The funding rate is at p0, in the lowest 5% of the last 6 months. If price turns up, short covering can speed up the move (short squeeze).

Are longs or shorts crowded on BNB?

As of the latest scan the crowd on BNB is: crowded short (funding percentile p0). p0 is the most short and p100 the most long moment of the last 6 months.

How much does BNB move per day on average?

BNB's average true range (ATR) is about 2.9% per day. A stop much tighter than this is more likely to be hit by an ordinary swing.

Are there liquidations on BNB?

No notable liquidation wave in the latest scan. Open interest changed −3.0% and price −1.2% in 24 hours.

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